Quote:
Originally Posted by BTCC frog
Here are my mathematical-based predictions for the most points out of the weekend, based on car and driver performance at Thruxton last year relative to Brands Indy and Donington last year, relative to car and driver performance at Brands Indy and Donington this year.
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An interesting list - thanks.
I have tried to look at form as a driver of what to expect. There are certain predicted results that many will disagree with, but what does form tell us
Firstly, the form of each chassis so far this season:
BMW
Honda
Hyundai
Ford
Cupra
Toyota
Vauxhall
Infiniti
The form of driver+car from this season:
Tom Ingram
Josh Cook
Colin Turkington
Gordon Shedden
Jake Hill
Ashley Sutton
George Gamble
Adam Morgan
Daniel Lloyd
Dan Cammish
Stephen Jelley
Bobby Thompson
Jason Plato
Daniel Rowbottom
Jade Edwards
Tom Chilton
Rory Butcher
Árón Taylor-Smith
Sam Osborne
Jack Butel
Ollie Jackson
Nicolas Hamilton
Michael Crees
Ricky Collard
Ash Hand
Will Powell
Aiden Moffat
Dexter Patterson
Rick Parfitt Jr.
The next thing I looked at was how each driver and chassis went at this venue last season (it will be skewed by only participating in one of the two rounds).
Chassis form at this circuit:
Honda
BMW
Vauxhall
Ford
Infiniti
Hyundai
Cupra
Toyota
Combining the driver form at this circuit last season, with their form this season:
Josh Cook
Ashley Sutton
Jake Hill
Tom Ingram
Colin Turkington
Daniel Lloyd
Adam Morgan
Rory Butcher
Jason Plato
Gordon Shedden
Dan Cammish
Stephen Jelley
Daniel Rowbottom
Aiden Moffat
Árón Taylor-Smith
Tom Chilton
Sam Osborne
Ollie Jackson
Jack Butel
Jade Edwards
Nicolas Hamilton
Rick Parfitt Jr.
So overall, when you combine the chassis form at this circuit, with the chassis form this season. Then add the driver form at this circuit to the driver form this season, and the ranking is:
Tom Ingram
Josh Cook
Colin Turkington
Gordon Shedden
Jake Hill
Ashley Sutton
George Gamble
Adam Morgan
Daniel Lloyd
Dan Cammish
Stephen Jelley
Bobby Thompson
Jason Plato
Daniel Rowbottom
Jade Edwards
Tom Chilton
Rory Butcher
Árón Taylor-Smith
Sam Osborne
Jack Butel
Ollie Jackson
Nicolas Hamilton
Michael Crees
Ricky Collard
Ash Hand
Will Powell
Aiden Moffat
Dexter Patterson
Rick Parfitt Jr.