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Doing 10000 simulations, according to past results in the season, Lorenzo has a 99.3% of getting the title, and Pedrosa just 0.7%.
So, or things change radically in Honda (i.e. a miracle) or Pedrosa is basically toast. Maybe it's a pity because perhaps he will not have another chance to be WC in MotoGP (and I know he is better than Hayden, for example). If you are not the absolutely best, sometimes a little luck can make you a decent WC, but it looks this is not going to be the year for Dani.
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