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The top teams don't need the money so I am not sure that even Mercedes can buy drivers out of their contracts, so I am going for Perez..
FI always need the money, and Mercedes let's say wrote off any existing bills (should there be any) and offer 2017 engines for free and a cash sum to buy Perez out -plus FI keeps Perez sponsor money for 2017- VJM will bite their arm off.
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