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Old 12 Dec 2016, 14:42 (Ref:3695514)   #251
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Originally Posted by Hawkwood View Post
Williams rebuff Mercedes' initial bid for Bottas, with more discussions to come.
Sainz seems to be second on the list now?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/38282791
Interesting article. So it sounds like Williams is looking for help to obtain a more experienced driver than Wehrlein (which is interesting that if Williams says "no" to Wehrlein then I assume people inside Mercedes are saying the same thing regarding promoting him to the Mercedes seat). Maybe that is where negotiations are now? Maybe to make it happen Mercedes must facilitate shuffling of seats to make a suitable driver available for Williams, provide some funding to Williams beyond the reduced engine costs, or maybe both.

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Originally Posted by BSchneiderFan View Post
I think Wehrlein is a better bet for Mercedes than Bottas. But the Lowe-to-Williams move is potentially much more interesting.
The Lowe move is interesting.

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Originally Posted by Chaynes321 View Post
Mercedes - Hamilton, Bottas
Willaims - di Resta, Stroll

Wehrlein ?
While di Resta has three years of actual F1 racing, has he been away from F1 too long to fit the likely Williams criteria for an experienced driver? Especially if Mercedes might be able to facilitate someone who is currently driving to move to Williams?

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Old 12 Dec 2016, 15:30 (Ref:3695520)   #252
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Yes, di Resta is a pipe-dream. I liked him as a driver and don't think he got the credit he deserved, but his chance in F1 has passed now.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:10 (Ref:3695531)   #253
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Interesting article. So it sounds like Williams is looking for help to obtain a more experienced driver than Wehrlein (which is interesting that if Williams says "no" to Wehrlein then I assume people inside Mercedes are saying the same thing regarding promoting him to the Mercedes seat)
An additional reason for Williams to say "no" to Wehrlein is that he would be paired with a rookie, whilst at Mercedes it would be Wehrlein with Hamilton.

I think Williams has a stronger case to say "no" to Wehrlein than Mercedes has.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:11 (Ref:3695532)   #254
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Originally Posted by Chaynes321 View Post
Mercedes - Hamilton, Bottas
Willaims - di Resta, Stroll

Wehrlein ?
Mercedes: Hamilton & Sainz
Torro Rosso: Kvyat & Gasly

Wehrlein ? (Sauber?)

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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:11 (Ref:3695533)   #255
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It won't be di Resta. He was already sent to DTM - where careers go to die.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:14 (Ref:3695535)   #256
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Originally Posted by Akrapovic View Post
It won't be di Resta. He was already sent to DTM - where careers go to die.
Well he came from DTM so not necessarily (and that's where Werhlein came from too).

Also Di Resta would be ideal for Martini - he's Scottish so obviously likes a drink
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:42 (Ref:3695547)   #257
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An additional reason for Williams to say "no" to Wehrlein is that he would be paired with a rookie, whilst at Mercedes it would be Wehrlein with Hamilton.

I think Williams has a stronger case to say "no" to Wehrlein than Mercedes has.
Very good point. I didn't think of that. Well... I understood the Williams reasons (two rookies, but didn't extend that thinking to Mercedes... Lewis + rookie)

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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:47 (Ref:3695548)   #258
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i think calling wehrlein a rookie is a bit wrong. he's been working with f1 teams for quite a while so is familiar with the scene, and dtm isn't exactly a small setup either. he may not have much f1 experience but he's by no means a rookie, not even relatively so.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 16:59 (Ref:3695552)   #259
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Joe Saward alluding to a suggestion that Bottas being at Williams in 2017 is in Stroll's contract - being there to lead the team on car set up and development and as a known benchmark for Lance....

Who know's?
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 17:08 (Ref:3695558)   #260
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My son just informed me that Merc has officially made an offer to Bottas. Don't know his source.


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Old 12 Dec 2016, 17:26 (Ref:3695559)   #261
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BBC reported last night that the first official approach to Williams had been rejected. Basically Williams would be screwed with out an experienced driver, plus with having a drinks sponsor would they really want 2 kids barely old enough to be seen with a glass.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 17:38 (Ref:3695563)   #262
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Okay,..just read about it on Sky and Autosoort. Williams have rejected an offer from Merc and it is believed Merc is formulating a second offer for Bottas.

With that being said, it looks clear to me that Bottas is their number one target.


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Old 12 Dec 2016, 18:11 (Ref:3695566)   #263
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Originally Posted by BertMk2 View Post
Well he came from DTM so not necessarily (and that's where Werhlein came from too).

Also Di Resta would be ideal for Martini - he's Scottish so obviously likes a drink
He came from DTM to Force India, because it was clear that like every other Mercedes/McLaren development driver, he was going to be left for his career to end in another series whilst the big teams kept hiring big names, rather than giving the young drivers they hired a chance.

Just like others like Green and Paffet, DTM is where single seater careers go to die. A couple may get out, the rest get to be touring car drivers.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 19:08 (Ref:3695580)   #264
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I found the Merc advert funny, maybe I should go down to my local Rye House and get some experience in, if only...

So it looks like Bottas is Mercedes favourite. Maybe Massa will come back with Merc, will be fun to see him against his 2008 title rival in the same team. I can't see di Resta coming back, as apparently he wasn't good at motivating the team at Force India
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 19:17 (Ref:3695587)   #265
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Originally Posted by S griffin View Post
Maybe Massa will come back with Merc, will be fun to see him against his 2008 title rival in the same team.
I've been turning this one over and it makes so much sense for all parties at least as an interim solution providing Felipe still wants to race. My take on his retirement was that he graciously stepped down rather than Jenson's latest emphatic " I'm finished driving in F1" stance.
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Old 12 Dec 2016, 20:15 (Ref:3695606)   #266
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i think calling wehrlein a rookie is a bit wrong. he's been working with f1 teams for quite a while so is familiar with the scene, and dtm isn't exactly a small setup either. he may not have much f1 experience but he's by no means a rookie, not even relatively so.
What makes someone a "Rookie" or maybe even an "Experienced" F1 driver?

I think first, what matters is actual time spent competing. Which to me is in the seat racing and not testing or being a reserve driver. So being part of the scene (IMHO) doesn't count. A classic definition for a rookie is someone participating in their first season. So, I would say Wehrlein was easily a rookie right up until the end of the season. So today he is barely not a rookie. So I have to agree on the "rookie" part of your comment (even if I called him a rookie above), but strongly disagree with the "not even relatively so" part! He may not be a rookie, but he still has that "new rookie" smell!

At what point is someone "Experienced" (which is germane to the discussion about Williams wanting an experienced driver if they were to give up Bottas)? I really wasn't sure how I would decide that myself. Its subjective. But I know which drivers I personally might consider experienced. I decided to look at how many actual race starts the 2016 drivers had (at end of 2016 season and with Wikipedia as source)

NameRace Starts
Jenson Button305
Fernando Alonso273
Kimi Raikkonen252
Felipe Massa250
Nico Rosberg206
Lewis Hamilton188
Sebastian Vettel178
Nico Hulkenberg115
Sergio Perez114
Daniel Ricciardo109
Romain Grosjean102
Valtteri Bottas77
Esteban Gutierrez59
Daniil Kvyat57
Marcus Ericsson56
Max Verstappen40
Carlos Sainz Jr.40
Kevin Magnussen40
Felipe Nasr39
Pascal Wehrlein21
Jolyon Palmer20
Rio Haryanto12
Esteban Ocon9
Stoffel Vandoorne1

I would say those who hit the 40-60 starts mark are at the point it can be considered. So roughly 2-3 seasons. 60-100 probably little or no arguments that they are experienced. Those with 100+ starts are clearly experienced and it would be hard to argue otherwise IMHO.

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Old 12 Dec 2016, 20:51 (Ref:3695612)   #267
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It shouldn't be surprising, but regarding my list above. For Vettel and above, all are WDC except for Massa (who almost was).

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Old 12 Dec 2016, 21:51 (Ref:3695625)   #268
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No one knows really...unless someone on here is Toto or Paddy.
And some of you reckon you are.
Read all the "it must be Wehrlein" posts on here...
Poor bloke must be sat at home tonight thinking "no one really wants me"
So, to all you posters saying it MUST be Wehrlein...definite!!
He will be the last resort.
How sad he must feel.

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Old 12 Dec 2016, 22:55 (Ref:3695648)   #269
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Please not Bottas, he is a solid #2 guy, who wants to see that?
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Old 13 Dec 2016, 00:49 (Ref:3695664)   #270
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Please not Bottas, he is a solid #2 guy, who wants to see that?
Yeah, that would be boring. I'd love to see an alpha type personality with exceptional skill instead of having a solid, but unspectacular points scorer
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Old 13 Dec 2016, 01:03 (Ref:3695666)   #271
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Joe Saward alluding to a suggestion that Bottas being at Williams in 2017 is in Stroll's contract - being there to lead the team on car set up and development and as a known benchmark for Lance....

Who know's?
For everyone's hand wringing over Bottas moving on and wanting an experienced hand in the other car, have we forgotten Massa drove for them last season? And as for Bottas to allow himself to be pinned to a team for a rich kid to have a chance, that seems like something no driver would want. Maybe as a driver at a major team but for Williams???

It seems like no matter the fan opinion, Pascal's time with MB is done. If he was in their plans he'd be in the seat already and he has to know that by now. MB is willing to buy out Bottas, Sainz or others but not promote their own driver, sounds like there's no chance he's in the factory drive now.
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Old 13 Dec 2016, 02:20 (Ref:3695680)   #272
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...And as for Bottas to allow himself to be pinned to a team for a rich kid to have a chance, that seems like something no driver would want. Maybe as a driver at a major team but for Williams???
when you say it like that it makes me sad for Williams and their steady decline over the last 10plus years.

fair point about wehrlein too.
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Old 13 Dec 2016, 03:12 (Ref:3695687)   #273
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Originally Posted by Richard Casto View Post
What makes someone a "Rookie" or maybe even an "Experienced" F1 driver?

I think first, what matters is actual time spent competing. Which to me is in the seat racing and not testing or being a reserve driver. So being part of the scene (IMHO) doesn't count. A classic definition for a rookie is someone participating in their first season. So, I would say Wehrlein was easily a rookie right up until the end of the season. So today he is barely not a rookie. So I have to agree on the "rookie" part of your comment (even if I called him a rookie above), but strongly disagree with the "not even relatively so" part! He may not be a rookie, but he still has that "new rookie" smell!

At what point is someone "Experienced" (which is germane to the discussion about Williams wanting an experienced driver if they were to give up Bottas)? I really wasn't sure how I would decide that myself. Its subjective. But I know which drivers I personally might consider experienced. I decided to look at how many actual race starts the 2016 drivers had (at end of 2016 season and with Wikipedia as source)

NameRace Starts
Jenson Button305
Fernando Alonso273
Kimi Raikkonen252
Felipe Massa250
Nico Rosberg206
Lewis Hamilton188
Sebastian Vettel178
Nico Hulkenberg115
Sergio Perez114
Daniel Ricciardo109
Romain Grosjean102
Valtteri Bottas77
Esteban Gutierrez59
Daniil Kvyat57
Marcus Ericsson56
Max Verstappen40
Carlos Sainz Jr.40
Kevin Magnussen40
Felipe Nasr39
Pascal Wehrlein21
Jolyon Palmer20
Rio Haryanto12
Esteban Ocon9
Stoffel Vandoorne1

I would say those who hit the 40-60 starts mark are at the point it can be considered. So roughly 2-3 seasons. 60-100 probably little or no arguments that they are experienced. Those with 100+ starts are clearly experienced and it would be hard to argue otherwise IMHO.

Richard
Sorry could you repeat that please Richard ?
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Old 13 Dec 2016, 09:47 (Ref:3695745)   #274
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There is one driver who has got very little mention in all of this and that is Grosjean who I believe has a get out clause in his contract (which might be team specific) with Haas.
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Old 13 Dec 2016, 11:32 (Ref:3695767)   #275
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He came from DTM to Force India, because it was clear that like every other Mercedes/McLaren development driver, he was going to be left for his career to end in another series whilst the big teams kept hiring big names, rather than giving the young drivers they hired a chance.

Just like others like Green and Paffet, DTM is where single seater careers go to die. A couple may get out, the rest get to be touring car drivers.
DTM is where single seater drivers go when they don't have the cash to carry on in single seaters - get paid to drive and there's the chance of a jump elsewhere in a manufacturers racing portfolio. If you don't have big backers there are worse options than DTM.
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