Quote:
Originally Posted by Born Racer
Not if McLaren improve their car a bit.  Vettel's had some excellent wins, but he's only just pulled those off (thanks in a large part to his own talent). The Red Bull is not as dominant as has sometimes appeared to be the case (look at Webber's performances), so McLaren aren't far off being able to really challenge Vettel every race, and he is capable of making an error at the critical time (see Canada). |
It's doable by Jenson... if Vettel/RBR fails somewhere (possibly several times).
If SV doesn't fail, the scenario is very difficult for JB. For example, let's suppose Mac makes a big step and JB can fight with SV on merit. Then he has to beat Seb 11-1 to get the title (counting 1st and 2nd positions). If we imagine Mac instructing Hamilton to let Button win and Lewis taking 2nd position (and Vettel 3rd), then Button still needs to beat Seb 9-3 to get the title.
In short, if SV doesn't fail in a significant way, Button has to win a lot of races in the remaining 12 races. He needs to recover 60 points in 12 races (averaging 5 per race), even extending to 12 races his ultra-dominant 7 first races of 2009 with Brawn would not do it if Seb doesn't fail.
All that changes if Vettel begins to lose podiums, particularly if he collects some zero points.