Updating after GP Germany:
Code:
AU BA CH AZ SP MO CA FR AU GB GE TOT QUA RAC
HAM-BOT 10 11 01 00 01 11 11 11 00 01 11 = 14-8 6-5 8-3 HAM 71% Advantage
VET-LEC 11 00 11 11 11 11 11 00 00 00 01 = 13-9 6-5 7-4 VET 48% Equality
MAG-GRO 01 11 11 11 01 10 10 11 10 00 00 = 13-9 7-4 6-5 MAG 48% Equality
RIC-HUL 00 10 11 10 11 11 11 10 01 11 00 = 14-8 8-3 6-5 RIC 71% Advantage
In the last two races has had some significant developments.
1) Gorsjean has beaten Magnussen 4-0, bringing the situation to "equality", i.e. the drivers are probably similar in performance, with differences mainly due to randomness. Still, Magnussen has the edge, so he can change the situation to his side more easily.
2) Leclerc won 3-1 against Vettel (and it is now 7-1 in the last four GPs!!). Now the position is "equality" as well... when Seb had Leclerc "busted" formerly!
3) Hamilton won 3-1 versus Botas making it "advantage" now. it means data shows Lewis is doing better than Valteri but it is not still enough to be statistically proven.
4) Hulk has slowed down the fall against Ricciardo tying 2-2 in the last two races. Anyway, the Australian still has "advantage" on his side.