Update of ORGs after Germany.
Code:
Gap ORG +10 +25
HAM 225
BOT -41 12.97 +11 --- Difficult
VER -63 19.92 --- -12 Difficult
VET -84 26.6 --- +9 Out
LEC -105 33.2 --- --- Out
Gap ORG +43
mer 409
fer -148 46.8 +19 Out
rbr -192 60.7 --- Out
Bottas is in a difficult position (<10% chance). Verstappen is still in the title's hunt but in an even more difficult situation than Valteri. The two Ferraris are out (<1% chance).
In terms of short time evolution, Bottas can get out of his difficult position if gains 11 points above LH in the next race. Verstappen will be out of the championship if he loses 12 points to Hamilton in Hungary. Vettel could go back to the title race if gets 9 points above Lewis in this next race.
Respecting teams, Ferrari and Red Bull are out of the championship but Ferrari can recover to a (very difficult) title option if they win 19 points over Mercedes in this GP.