On the other side, Constructors' Championship has a bit more interest because teams are actually concerned about their final positions because economical and prestige reasons.
So, I am including the matrix of probabilities of win against each other team.
Code:
mer -- 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
rbr 0 -- 100 100 100 100 100 100
mcl 0 0 -- 44 60 93 94 100
poi 0 0 56 -- 64 94 96 100
ren 0 0 40 36 -- 88 95 100
fer 0 0 7 6 12 -- 76 100
tau 0 0 6 4 5 24 -- 100
alf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --
I have not included Haas and Williams because they have so few points that is difficult to make any estimation with simulations. But one can imagine what positions they could get in the table...
Basically, the first two positions are done and the last three too (in any permutation between them). The real (and close) fight happens between the five middle class teams (Ferrari!!). In particular, McLaren, Pinky and Renault are completely undecided between them. Ferrari has chances but is and step behind, same with Alpha Tauri (Aldebaran?).