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Rubens was pretty unlucky - there was nothing in the forecasts to indicate lower temperatures, or make rain early on seem like anything but an outside cahnce (especially as it was more likely to be hard rain, which would've allowed Ferrari to change to the (presumably still superior) Bridgestone Wets).
All the same, in practice on Friday he didn't seem to be as quick as Michael. Unlike Australia, there was a clear performance gap all weekend, and I don't think tyres explain it all.
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