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Old 25 Jun 2019, 07:44 (Ref:3914066)   #18
Schummy
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Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!
New gaps after GP France:

Code:
     Gap   ORG  +10  +25
HAM  187
BOT  -36   9.98  -1  ---
VET  -76  21.1  ---  -15
VER  -87  24.1  ---   -4
LEC -100  27.7  ---  +10
Code:
     Gap   ORG  +44
mer  338        
fer -140  38.8  -16
rbr -201  55.7  ---
Now even Bottas is in a difficult position (approx 10%) to overcome the gap. Leclerc is out and Vettel and Verstappen are almost out of the title (<1% is out of the title for me, it is a ORG of 25 or more).

If Verstappen doesn't get more points than Hamilton in the next race he will be "officially" out (ORG > 25). Same with Vettel if he loses 11 points. Respecting Leclerc, he has to recover 14 points to Lewis to come back to life (altough very probably to no avail).

In the teams' table, only Ferrari has a chance to fight Mercedes, and this chance is small. If Ferrari loses the next race, it probably will be out too. I remind you that, in this discussion, a <1% chance is not a realistic chance to get the title.
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