View Single Post
Old 4 Jul 2019, 13:23 (Ref:3915858)   #19
Schummy
Subscriber
Veteran
 
Schummy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location:
Somewhere near 2nd Lagrangian point
Posts: 3,259
Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!Schummy has a real shot at the podium!
Gaps after Austria:
Code:
Drivers
     Gap   ORG  +10  +25
HAM  197
BOT  -31   8.9   -3  --- Contender
VER  -71  20.5  ---  -12 Almost out
VET  -74  21.4  ---   -9 Almost out
LEC  -92  26.6  ---  +10 Out
Code:
Teams
     Gap   ORG  +43
mer  363        
fer -135  38.97   -8 Almost out
rbr -194  56.0   --- Out
Ironically, Vettel and Leclerc are in a slightly worse position than before even if they got more points than Hamilton. It is due to now there is one less race to go and then the significance of a given gap is bigger.

Botas is in the limit as contender, if he loses 3 points to Lewis in the next race, he will pass to be "Struggling", i.e. less than 10% chance to overcome the gap with Hamilton.

Leclerc would need gain 10 points to Hamilton (always in the next race) to get into a minimal likelyhood of getting the title. Meanwhile, Verstappen and Vettel will be out of title chase (with at least 1% of chance) if they lose 12 and 9 points, respectively, with LH.

About teams championship, Ferrari has slightly worsened its chances (due to the same reason as formerly mentioned) and it is nearing the limit for being out of the championship. If they lose 8 points to mercs, they will "achieve" that. Of course RedBull is already out.

In short, things are not exactly exciting respecting titles this season.
Schummy is offline  
Quote