After the Silverstone-II race:
Code:
HAM mer[107]
VER rbr 30 10.6 9%
BOT mer 34 12.0 8%
LEC fer 62 21.9 2%
NOR mcl 69 24.4 1%
ALB rbr 71 25.1 1%
Really only Verstappen and Bottas are in the race against Hamilton. Even those two have it difficult because their probabilities of over scoring LH are less than 10%. Moreover, Hamilton has the "helpful help" of RedBull and Merc's clever strategists (suggestion: RB ones should be employed by Ferrari, particularly for Sebastian).
Leclerc has still a thin line of life but supposedly for a short time. Norris nominally has also a microchance. Albon... well, no, no more drivers with microchances.
Tasks for next GP:
- Verstappen and Bottas need to recover at least 2 points to not get a worse probability against LH. Leclerc needs 4 points to recover against Hamilton.
- To be worthy contenders (>10% probability) Verstappen needs to get back 4 points from LH. Bottas needs 8 points. The rest of drivers cannot be contenders even winning the race and Hamilton doing a Vettel.
In terms of Teams Championship, Ferraris is already out (<1%), while RedBull is still in the race, with a OneRaceGap of 23.7. Can RedBull gets 24 points over Mercedes in one race?It is hard to achieve, but it would be thinkable.