I think you're right. Having struggled for sponsorship his whole career the US wasn't an option and another season of GP2 outside of the front running teams would have damaged his career. At least if he impresses in DTM he can have a career in racing, and if he was lucky get another test in F1. I certainly think he's more of a prospect than Rossiter, but that's another thread.
As an aside, I read a rumour over the weekend that Paffett might get a seat at Prodrive's F1 team if it uses McLaren chassis, so perhaps the DTM return is part of a longer term plan. I was surprised he didn't try harder to find a seat elsewhere in F1, so perhaps the Prodrive link explains the move.
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