I also agree... and more since i suspect the TS040 will resemble the TS030 much more than the 2014 R18 resembled the 2013 R18.
I suspect most of changes will be under the skin... the fact of 2 kinetic ERSs and then the engine that must be quite revised to cope with less fuel. Because for a "throttled" engine less fuel has more significant impact than for a "throttle-less" that can play well with lean mixtures.
And this aspect of engine most probably we wouldn't be able to tell any differences even if Toyota showed under the skin.
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