Just to complete the info, I am posting here the estimates of the probabilities of getting the title (using a different approach to the gaps in the former post).
Code:
Moto 3: DLP 49% CAN 45% ARB 4% ANT 2%
Moto 2: MAR 85% LUT 7% NAV 3% FER 2% BAL 1% SCH 1% BIN 1%
MotoGP: MAR 97% DOV 3%
Although the "methodology" is different these percentages are in the same line that the percentages in the former post.
In resume, heavy favorites for the titles are the two Marquez, Dalla Porta and Canet. The rest are out of luck, except (perhaps) Luthi. It doesn't seems to be particularly striking news but I think it puts in a right perspective the degree of determination of the titles and the lack of true contenders to them.