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View Poll Results: Who will win overall?
Toyota #7 1 14.29%
Toyota #8 6 85.71%
Rebellion #1 0 0%
Ginetta #5 0 0%
Ginetta #6 0 0%
An LMP2 0 0%
Voters: 7. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 6 Oct 2019, 18:46 (Ref:3932303)   #26
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Originally Posted by broadrun96 View Post
Most safety equipment doesn't improve performance so if that doesn't work they shouldn't be excluded either? If the rules say it must work then it must work, there's no need for interpretation in the rules there.

That said, if the rules have allowances for X safety equipment being fines and Y safety equipment being exclusion then you may have a complaint. But I'm guessing safety equipment means exclusion, full stop, no appeal no debate. A neutral switch for the marshalls seems to be a minor thing but I'm guessing when a car is stuck in gear and they can't move it, it becomes a bigger deal.
I don't like it when we agree.

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Originally Posted by Badlands99 View Post
Okay ...... Gonna be a bit against the general feeling here ..... BUT ....... please tell me how this six hour endurance 'race' was better than the fare that SRO have shown this year?????
For all Ratel's faults he does run a 'show' and, for me, he gets it right more often the not. Enjoyed Spa, Paul Ricard and Monza way more than this excuse for a race!
Come on ACO ...... sort it out!
I don't think you're going against the general feeling. I don't think just because Blancpain is bad right now that WEC is good. I'd say that this is the worst the two series have been in 3-4 years.

Both are bad right now. For different reasons.
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Old 6 Oct 2019, 18:47 (Ref:3932304)   #27
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I expected more from the privateers. Ginetta, while new, just shot itself in the foot. Repeatedly... Rebellion put up a good fight early in the race but they just don't have Toyota's consistency. What I was hoping for was thanks to Fuji's huge straight, was that Toyota's hybrid boost was only good for maybe half the straight and that their top speed disadvantage would come into play more. That showed but then as the stint went on, the privateers faded away. Like I said with Ginetta, they had serious top speed but their brakes had issues and I think that led to the tires. That led to them getting a penalty for excessive tire use.

GTE was good though, but it seemed like the focus on it wasn't doing justice to the race that was going on. LMP2 was good too but it doesn't hold much interest to me as it's an all-Oreca affair.

Onto China, they have another huge straight where Rebellion and Ginetta will have a serious advantage. If Ginetta gets on top of their brake problem and doesn't make the mistakes, they will be a force because both Toyota's will be further restricted, not by weight but by the hybrid and fuel flow which the former is their main advantage.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 13:00 (Ref:3932472)   #28
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JoeW04 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridJoeW04 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
This season was always at risk at going by with a bit of a whimper and unfortunately that looks like the way it’s heading. Would I of got myself out of bed at 3am in 2015 to watch 3 manufacturers racing at the front, yes more than likely, would I wake up at that time to watch a Toyota test session in 2019? definitely not
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 17:55 (Ref:3932524)   #29
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Number7 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
I was a huge fan of WEC racing. And I actually still consider myself a fan, but I have become utterly uninterested in these WEC races faking some sort of not existing competition. Sorry for Toyota and all the rest of us.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 18:11 (Ref:3932528)   #30
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I'm not jumping to conclusions yet. It's only the second race and it was at Fuji, where Toyota has won every time but once (in 2015 when they were absolutely outclassed and outspent). Rebellion said they chose the wrong tire compound as well. This probably explained why they were 2 seconds slower in qualifying than last year. The weather was warmer than they expected I'd wager so the tire compound they chose was out of it's optimum range.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 18:39 (Ref:3932541)   #31
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We've tried not jumping to conclusions for 2 years now. It's now a conclusion. We keep seeing "Maybe the privateers will do well!" followed by "I expected more from the privateers!"

After 2 years of that most people have given up. And we have race threads that have 3 posts about the race.

I think for most it's just come back for next year and see what we have. And that's fine. Maybe 2020 will bring us WEC that's fun and Blancpain with green flags.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 19:04 (Ref:3932544)   #32
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I think people just need to look back at the R8 days and early R10 era where Audi (much like Toyota now) were the only major fully OEM backed organization taking on privateer teams with a very small fraction of their budget and R&D capabilities. And we also have to accept that at least 9 times out of 10 that in such a situation that the factory team will destroy the competition. And the bigger the stage, the bigger the gap.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 20:32 (Ref:3932550)   #33
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helgi should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridhelgi should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridhelgi should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
There used to be 5/6 different chassis and engines both in LMP1 and LMP2 when R8 was on a march. Non "balanced", with some upgrades sometimes. There used to be something to talk about in terms of tech even if "show" was bad. And why to look for a "show" in endurance racing? Drivers are not clowns to put any type of a show. What a "show" did they have in the early days of "Golden Era"? Just a Porsche Cup. And still there were topics to talk for more than 3 pages a week, I suppose.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 20:54 (Ref:3932553)   #34
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And I also think that it's fair to remind readers that if you think that GTE in the WEC and GTLM in IMSA is bad for having "only" three manufacturers involved, just look at the pre-2006 days of the ALMS and LMS. Until Ferrari came out with the 430 GT2 (ie not a half baked car), GT2 was basically a spec Porsche series virtually.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 22:26 (Ref:3932558)   #35
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Originally Posted by Akrapovic View Post
We've tried not jumping to conclusions for 2 years now. It's now a conclusion. We keep seeing "Maybe the privateers will do well!" followed by "I expected more from the privateers!"

After 2 years of that most people have given up. And we have race threads that have 3 posts about the race.

I think for most it's just come back for next year and see what we have. And that's fine. Maybe 2020 will bring us WEC that's fun and Blancpain with green flags.
They didn't have this success penalty system in place for 2 years, actually. And you can see that it really did affect the #7. On top of that, this was only the first race with the penalties applied aside the weight gain from the offseason starting EOT for Toyota.

Ginetta set a faster lap time than the 7 car and was less than 3 tenths behind the 8 car in ultimate time. So imo, the pace is there, they just need to execute. Starting from the pitlane, losing your brakes and tires, having your electronics cut out numerous times over the weekend... those things aren't going to win you a race no matter how fast you are. And in Rebellion's case, choosing the wrong tire can cut your pace by over a second per lap.
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Old 7 Oct 2019, 23:22 (Ref:3932564)   #36
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Problem is that being equally fast on one lap pace is different than matching that over a stint. We saw that with DP vs LMP2 in IMSA in 2014-15 and DPI vs LMP2 in 2017-18. Yes, the Rebellion split the Toyotas for a few laps at the start of the race, but the Toyotas after that being basically uncontested 1-2 for the rest of the race further hammers home the point.

Again, go back to the Audi era with the R8 and early R10 days. Privateers could go fast over one lap, but once the race started, the Audis came to the fore due to various advantage of being a factory team vs privateer teams.

The WEC's model for LMP1 was built around factory teams racing each other, but when you have just one OEM team vs privateers, that shows that the model is flawed without an apples to apples competition.
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Old 8 Oct 2019, 00:33 (Ref:3932571)   #37
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The TS050 is an absurdly good and rather new factory car because of the ridiculous lengths the competition went to in 2014-2017, and the privateers are not even particularly good for privateers, there's not much that can be done about it besides reset things with new rules. Too bad they aren't even going to bother with that and just BoP trashcan it.

By comparison the R8 was a kind of mediocre old factory car by the tail end of its lifespan and there was some very good privateer cars. Look at the difference in effort in adapting a standard Courage/ORECA between the Pescarolo C60 and the Rebellion R13, or even the other way between how half assed the R8's later update kits for regulation changes were compared to what Toyota did when hybrid aero was cut back.

I've said before I don't even think the R8 chassis was that good to start with, it was just the only car around designed for the 2000 ACO regulations and had the only purpose built LMP engine on the grid. When you got something like a Lola AER or Reynard Zytek that had been completely designed for those rules too they were also very good. The TS040 started with a chassis good enough to offset its carry over engine in 2014 and the TS050 today is miles upon miles better than that.
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Old 8 Oct 2019, 06:26 (Ref:3932606)   #38
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They didn't have this success penalty system in place for 2 years, actually. And you can see that it really did affect the #7. On top of that, this was only the first race with the penalties applied aside the weight gain from the offseason starting EOT for Toyota.

Ginetta set a faster lap time than the 7 car and was less than 3 tenths behind the 8 car in ultimate time. So imo, the pace is there, they just need to execute. Starting from the pitlane, losing your brakes and tires, having your electronics cut out numerous times over the weekend... those things aren't going to win you a race no matter how fast you are. And in Rebellion's case, choosing the wrong tire can cut your pace by over a second per lap.
We've been through this discussion so many times that I'm about as bored of typing it as everyone else will be as reading it.

We've been saying the same thing for 2 years now. Throwing some weight in a Toyota doesn't mean anything. The single lap pace is absolutely worthless as a means of measuring hybrid v ICE because they achieve the lap times in completely different ways. See IMSA balancing LMP2 and DP. LMP2 lap times were the same, but they lost in traffic. Same with P1H v P1P. The Toyota can lap the same as a Rebellion in a single lap, then be 3 seconds quicker through traffic.

To be completely blunt - the Toyota overtook a Rebellion at Silverstone at a place on the track that only a hybrid can do that. The Rebellion couldn't even pull those moves on GTE cars, nevermind LMP1s. You cannot balance wildly different technology. And even if they do manage to balance it, they're removing the balance for Le Mans.

It appears as though the only people still clinging onto hope and "not jumping to conclusions" are Toyota fans. It's not jumping to conclusions - it's being realistic about the events we're getting. WEC is in a poor state and this season, like last, isn't really worth watching.
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Old 8 Oct 2019, 08:46 (Ref:3932641)   #39
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I think that argument is outright ridiculous to bring up when a slower Rebellion held up a Toyota for ages in the last race. They just do not have the consistency even in clean air.
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Old 8 Oct 2019, 09:35 (Ref:3932652)   #40
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I think that argument is outright ridiculous to bring up when a slower Rebellion held up a Toyota for ages in the last race. They just do not have the consistency even in clean air.
They don’t have the consistency. I never said they did. But the Toyota pulls moves that no other car can do. And that’s before we talk about the electric start in the pit lane, no starter motor, being immune to the wheels turning on the jacks, etc.

There’s lots of reasons. We’ve typed them out so many times. It’s boring. But we shouldn’t jump to conclusions...
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Old 8 Oct 2019, 18:04 (Ref:3932758)   #41
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Rennen should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRennen should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRennen should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRennen should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
For those interested in why the Jota #38 LMP2 driven ny Gonzalez, Da Costa & Davidson was Excluded from the race after they finished 2nd in Fuji.

In post race scrutineering it was found that a badly soldered wire had detached itself from it's circuit board rendering the Marshalls Neutral Button inoperative! This was a standard Oreca part and not the fault of the drivers or the team for that matter and would have had no idea the wire had detached itself, not that it was even needed during the race (when it may well have functioned if required) The team didn't appeal the decision as it meant that their car would have missed the freighting to China for the next round! This should have been just a fine, Not Total Exclusion, far too harsh a penalty for what is just a car produced for amateur drivers to go racing in!
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Old 9 Oct 2019, 20:21 (Ref:3932984)   #42
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They don’t have the consistency. I never said they did. But the Toyota pulls moves that no other car can do. And that’s before we talk about the electric start in the pit lane, no starter motor, being immune to the wheels turning on the jacks, etc.

There’s lots of reasons. We’ve typed them out so many times. It’s boring. But we shouldn’t jump to conclusions...
Yeah, we should just assume Toyota will win every race even though they weigh 100+kg more than the others. You make it seem like they only win because of their hybrid, which will be restricted further at China. They don't execute at anything else? The privateers don't falter at all?

Rebellion was 2 second slower than last year with more knowledge of the car and NO success penalties. Why? Partially because they expected colder weather and chose a softer compound of tire. Unlike some, I'm not pessimistic on the other teams' chances for the rest of the season. I can look at the races and see where things went wrong for teams. Silverstone was where Toyota was easily favored imo. Fuji a little bit less so, but it's a track where they've won all but one race entered, I think that one was a given. China sees both Toyota's slowed by at least another second per lap on paper.

If Ginetta gets on top of it's issues and Rebellion can stay consistent (use the right compound), then there's a race to be had. Not a Toyota walkover. I don't want to see that, even if Toyota is my favorite team.

The penalty and exclusion situation bothers me too. A standard part like that failing shouldn't mean the result is thrown out. Rules are rules, but sometimes they need to be looked over and rewritten for situations like this.
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Old 10 Oct 2019, 06:45 (Ref:3933055)   #43
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Yeah, we should just assume Toyota will win every race even though they weigh 100+kg more than the others. You make it seem like they only win because of their hybrid, which will be restricted further at China. They don't execute at anything else? The privateers don't falter at all?
They win because they built the best car, with the best technology, have the most resources, the best team, and are immune from half of the pit stop regulations.

You say Rebellion were slower because they expected colder temps etc, etc. You're right. And why are Rebellion worse than Toyota? Because they don't have the resources to pull things off like Toyota do. They'll make more intelligence and race craft mistakes than Toyota, Porsche, Peugeot and Audi do/did. The manufacturers throw money and resources at this, whilst privateers can't.

You're right. Privateers aren't executing as well. But expecting Rebellion, who can't afford to run a second car, to execute as well as, quite literally, the largest car company in the world, is an *insane* thing to expect.

We've tried not jumping to conclusions for 2 years now. Adding weight doesn't offset engineering resources, hybrid boost and pit stop regulations. Toyota might "only" be 1-2 seconds quicker a lap, but the quality difference required to do achieve that is insane. Toyota are THAT good.
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Old 10 Oct 2019, 14:28 (Ref:3933135)   #44
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And that's been the biggest problem with road racing when there's factory teams involved vs privateers. Same thing with F1, NASCAR or Indy Car with the big money teams vs the small fry. The bigger teams just have more resources to drain blood from a stone as far as performance.

And it's not like in day's past like say 20-25 years ago or even (if one counts Pescarolo in LMP1) 10-15 years ago. Too many good ideas have been done to death and rules have become more restrictive on what the sanctioning bodies will at least willingly allow vs what they won't.

In short, it's an apples to oranges comparison, and always has been. At least now it's fair to say that Toyota probably feel the same way that Audi did when they built the R8. They built it to take on factory competition. When the factories defected to other series, it didn't stop Audi from running the R8, but a big part of the reason it was designed was made moot. Same with Toyota since 2017 basically after Porsche announced their pull out of the WEC.
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Old 11 Oct 2019, 00:10 (Ref:3933201)   #45
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They win because they built the best car, with the best technology, have the most resources, the best team, and are immune from half of the pit stop regulations.

You say Rebellion were slower because they expected colder temps etc, etc. You're right. And why are Rebellion worse than Toyota? Because they don't have the resources to pull things off like Toyota do. They'll make more intelligence and race craft mistakes than Toyota, Porsche, Peugeot and Audi do/did. The manufacturers throw money and resources at this, whilst privateers can't.

You're right. Privateers aren't executing as well. But expecting Rebellion, who can't afford to run a second car, to execute as well as, quite literally, the largest car company in the world, is an *insane* thing to expect.

We've tried not jumping to conclusions for 2 years now. Adding weight doesn't offset engineering resources, hybrid boost and pit stop regulations. Toyota might "only" be 1-2 seconds quicker a lap, but the quality difference required to do achieve that is insane. Toyota are THAT good.
It wasn't like they made huge mistakes. They chose the wrong tire compound and that made most of the difference, at least from what they said. You go and look at the timing results from the race and look at the last hour or two when the light rain came and went, then the temps dropped. The Rebellion's times were equal to the Toyota's. Mostly 1:28's with a few laps a second higher and lower. Seems the soft tires worked better then. They held off the #7 Toyota for a while in the beginning too.

I wonder if they ever got those different Michelin's for designed for their non-hybrid cars?
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Old 11 Oct 2019, 06:58 (Ref:3933229)   #46
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And why are Rebellion worse than Toyota? Because they don't have the resources to pull things off like Toyota do.
That is also skipping the point. Rebellion wasn't as good as SMP past this point last year, it's demonstrably possible for a non-hybrid team to do a better job. They don't even have a driver lineup as good as last year. Rebellion's entire strategy pretty much ever has appeared to be do the bare minimum to be the best of the rest and pray the rules will solve the rest eventually. Which might make sense if you're hoping to win Le Mans on the least money possible, but is not a reliable route to success. (no other non-hybrid P1s? Eh just roll out an LMP2. In a year any kind of remotely viable privateer P1 car could have won Le Mans appropriately enough)
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Old 11 Oct 2019, 07:33 (Ref:3933231)   #47
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Originally Posted by carbsmith View Post
That is also skipping the point. Rebellion wasn't as good as SMP past this point last year, it's demonstrably possible for a non-hybrid team to do a better job. They don't even have a driver lineup as good as last year. Rebellion's entire strategy pretty much ever has appeared to be do the bare minimum to be the best of the rest and pray the rules will solve the rest eventually. Which might make sense if you're hoping to win Le Mans on the least money possible, but is not a reliable route to success. (no other non-hybrid P1s? Eh just roll out an LMP2. In a year any kind of remotely viable privateer P1 car could have won Le Mans appropriately enough)
I can't say agree with any of it (sorry!), and I find the bolded parts confusing. It's skipping the point to talk about resources, but then mention the driver line up? You're right - the driver line up isn't as good. Why is it not as good? Well they can't pay Fernando Alonso to drive it. They can't afford full pro driver line ups. And that's just resources. When they had drivers funding the second cars etc, they could afford one pro car, now that's not viable. None of the the other privateer LMP1 teams had a line-up anywhere near that good either.

SMP were better at this point last year? In what way? 2 races into a season, Rebellion had beaten SMP each time? 3 races in they'd won a race due to a DQ. Rebellion took 6 podiums I think over a season? SMP took 4? Rebellion finished with more points. SMP were matching them, but is that something to be ashamed of?

I also don't agree with Rebellion doing "the bare minimum". The bare minimum is just go enter LMP2 and stay there. Immediately upon entering LMP2 they won the title. I'm not sure anyone entering LMP1 car be described as "doing the bare minimum".

They moved to LMP2 for a year when the new LMP2 regulations meant that the LMP2s were going to produce lap times that were a significant bump over what they had seen before, and they'd match the old generation LMP1-P cars. There wasn't time to upgrade the car in the 6 months or so they had to do it - so they took 18 months to do it, and instead of taking time out, they ran LMP2 for a year whilst the new car was being built. I 100% disagree that taking a step down for a year so you can upgrade and return is "doing the bare minimum" and I think it vastly under-estimates what it takes to run an LMP1 car.
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Old 11 Oct 2019, 09:27 (Ref:3933243)   #48
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They (Oreca) just wait for another BoP which eventually can lead to a "Great" victory over Toyota. They (Oreca) have colossal experience in different types of racing and still prefer to beg dispensations instead of working upon their tech. And this is the way all racing is going to look like in 2020. It's not clever engineering but BoP choose the winner and bunch of looser have nothing to do but moan like some drivers do in TCR today. They do not invent anything, no new Halls, Chapmans or Broadleys. Just wallets on wheels. Oh, yes, there will be 10 different cars on the grid and "close battles" (maybe), but what is the sense of that show? Nothing close to sport or engineering.
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Old 11 Oct 2019, 11:21 (Ref:3933262)   #49
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They (Oreca) just wait for another BoP which eventually can lead to a "Great" victory over Toyota. They (Oreca) have colossal experience in different types of racing and still prefer to beg dispensations instead of working upon their tech. And this is the way all racing is going to look like in 2020. It's not clever engineering but BoP choose the winner and bunch of looser have nothing to do but moan like some drivers do in TCR today. They do not invent anything, no new Halls, Chapmans or Broadleys. Just wallets on wheels. Oh, yes, there will be 10 different cars on the grid and "close battles" (maybe), but what is the sense of that show? Nothing close to sport or engineering.
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Old 11 Oct 2019, 22:20 (Ref:3933371)   #50
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SMP were better at this point last year?
I said after.

I am not at all convinced Rebellion would only be running one car with a mediocre driver lineup if SMP was racing this year. What they bother to enter has always seemed proportional to what other non-factory opposition exists pretty much regardless of how close or far away the factories are. If they dropped to LMP2 right now they would be at a clear disadvantage to Ginetta.
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