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Old 19 May 2023, 15:49 (Ref:4156851)   #1
PascaLM
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The 2023 Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread
Here we go for the Ten-Tenths predictions contest of the 24 Hours le Mans 2023, the centenary race.

Past winners:
2008 - cptkablamo
2009 - PascaLM
2010 - isynge
2011 - Joe Taylor
2012 - Duff_44
2014 - Truckosaurus
2015 - TRspitfirefan
2016 - vincegail
2017 - Babapapa
2018 - bentley03 and joeb
2019 - nasdriv87
2020 - Adam43*
2021 - Adam43
2022 - whitemr2

This year the contest has more items due to many new cars :
  • Hyperpole time (50 points)
  • The car which signs the hyperpole time (20 points)
  • The absolute top speed of all practice and qualifying sessions (30 points)
  • Top speed car (10 points)
  • Podium (120 points)
  • Winner's number of laps (60 points)
  • GTEAM winning car (40 points)
So you are cordially invited to record your answers to the following :

1. Hyperpole time to nearest thousandth and the car
e.g.
3:41.488 Toyota #8
If the track is declared wet during this entire Hyperpole session, we will consider the best lap of all other practice an qualifying sessions.

2. Top speed of practice and qualifying sessions (in kph) and the car
e.g.
309.5 kph Glickenhaus #708
(to the tenth, with km=0.621 mile)

3. Overall winner, second and third – car #'s and laps completed by the winner only
e.g.
1. Oreca #32 – 312 laps
2. Oreca #26
3. Toyota #7

4. GTEAM winning car
e.g. Porsche #80

Scoring :
Hyperpole pole time :
50 - (12.5 x |pole-prediction|), i.e if you are one second and 512 thousands from the pole, you get 31.1 points.
0 point if |pole-prediction|> 4 seconds
Car : 20 or 0 points

[UTop speed :[/U]
30 - (1.5 x |topSpeed-prediction|) , i.e if you are 10 kph from the top speed, you get 15 points.
0 point if |topSpeed-prediction|)>20kph
Car : 10 or 0 points

Podium : you can have points if you choose a car of the final podium in an other position
 predicted 1stpredicted 2ndpredicted 3rd
winner 60 points 30 points 15 points
2nd 20 points 40 points 20 points
3rd 5 pts 10 points 20 points

Winner's laps
60 - ( |laps-prediction|) and 0 point if |laps-prediction|>60 laps

GTEAM winning car :
40 or 0 points

The official results will be those of http://fiawec.alkamelsystems.com

You can criticize this points system or give some suggestions but please after this year results are published.

Please respect some rules :

1. No surplus comments, no funnies, no additions – just your predictions. We will remove anything else that you add !

2. No amendments are permitted unless you can satisfy us that you made a genuine mistake or if one of the cars included in your prediction is withdrawn before race start.

3. Any queries about the competition to PascaLM or Aysedasi by PM please.

4. The competition will close at 9 pm (UK time) on Tuesday 6th June and the thread will be closed too.

N.B. This is just a bit of fun which we do each year and it is not intended to replace or supplant any other regular predictions competition.
Last edited by PascaLM; 20 May 2023 at 08:08.
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Old 20 May 2023, 09:39 (Ref:4156904)   #2
RL17
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RL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridRL17 should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
1 Hyperpole

3.22.828 Ferrari #51

2 Top speed practice/qualifying

344.7kph Ferrari #51

3 Podium/laps

1 Cadillac #3 369 laps
2 Jota Porsche #38
3 Cadillac #2

4 GTAM

Aston Vantage #25

Thanks
Last edited by PascaLM; 1 Jun 2023 at 10:13. Reason: Allowed updating after modified BoP on May 31
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Old 22 May 2023, 17:46 (Ref:4157472)   #3
Richard117
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Richard117 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridRichard117 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#50 Ferrari - 3:22.322

Topspeed
#50 Ferrari - 345 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #6 Porsche - 372 Laps
2. #8 Toyota
3. #3 Cadillac

GTE Am Winner
#85 Iron Dames Porsche
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Old 23 May 2023, 16:23 (Ref:4157602)   #4
philipp
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philipp should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#7 Toyota - 3:21.050

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 342 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 370 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #50 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 16:26 (Ref:4159754)   #5
GT6
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Hyperpole
7 toyota 3.23.001

Topspeed
Ferrari 50 344kph

Overall
1 7 Toyota 365 laps
2 8 Toyota
3 5 Porsche

GTE
25 Aston
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 16:51 (Ref:4159761)   #6
philipp
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philipp should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Quote:
Originally Posted by philipp View Post
Hyperpole
#7 Toyota - 3:21.050

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 342 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 370 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #50 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
New prediction, after BOP...

#50 Ferrari - 3:23.050

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 347 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 368 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #50 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 19:23 (Ref:4159811)   #7
joeb
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Hyperpole
51 Ferrari - 3:25.654

Topspeed
51 Ferrari - 343 km/h

Overall Podium
1. 7 Toyota - 374 Laps
2. 2 Caddy
3. 708 Glick

GTE Am Winner
33 Corvette
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Old 4 Jun 2023, 19:43 (Ref:4159829)   #8
Hawkwood
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Hawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridHawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
Hyperpole
#50 Ferrari - 3:22.700

Topspeed
#4 Vanwall - 347 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #3 Cadillac - 380 Laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #51 Ferrari

GTE Am Winner
#85 Iron Dames Porsche
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Old 5 Jun 2023, 02:00 (Ref:4159907)   #9
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DistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridDistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridDistortedSmile should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
Hyperpole
#50 Ferrari - 3:20.988

Topspeed
#50 Ferrari - 343 km/h

Overall Podium
1. #8 Toyota - 366 laps
2. #7 Toyota
3. #02 Cadillac

GTE Am Winner
#33 Corvette Racing
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Old 5 Jun 2023, 12:22 (Ref:4160006)   #10
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Truckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
Hyperpole:
51 Ferrari - 3:27:123

Top Speed:
7 Toyota - 343kmh

Podium:
51 Ferrari
6 Porsche
8 Toyota

Laps:
384

GT Winner:
54 Ferrari
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Old 5 Jun 2023, 13:17 (Ref:4160015)   #11
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nobster has a real shot at the podium!nobster has a real shot at the podium!nobster has a real shot at the podium!nobster has a real shot at the podium!
Hyperpole :
#51 Ferrari - 3:22:567

Top speed:
#7 Toyota - 345,38 kmh

Podium:
#3 Cadillac 375 laps
#6 Porsche
#7 Toyota

GT winner:
#33 Corvette
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 00:44 (Ref:4160143)   #12
Adam43
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Hyperpole
3:23.786 Ferrari #51

Top Speed
343.4 kph Ferrari #51

Podium
1. Toyota #7 - 376 laps
2. Ferrari #50
3. Porsche #6

GTE winner
Ferrari #83
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 01:35 (Ref:4160147)   #13
Toyotats03OUS
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Toyotats03OUS should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
#7Toyota 3:21.245 kamui

Top speed
#7 Toyota 345.6

Podium
#8 Toyota 371 laps
#7 Toyota
#6 Porsche

GTE winner
#21 Ferrari
Last edited by Adam43; 6 Jun 2023 at 11:18. Reason: Laps and GTE added, received by PM.
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 05:14 (Ref:4160155)   #14
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Hyperpole
#7 Toyota - 3:22.761

Topspeed
#51 Ferrari - 346.23 kph

Overall Podium
1. #7 Toyota - 370 laps
2. #50 Ferrari
3. #6 Porsche

GTE Am Winner
#54 Ferrari
Last edited by Aysedasi; 6 Jun 2023 at 19:16.
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Old 6 Jun 2023, 12:24 (Ref:4160203)   #15
Badlands99
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Badlands99 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Hyperpole
Toyota No 7

Top speed
Ferrari No 51 347.8kph

Podium
Toyota No 7 379 laps
Ferrari No 50
Porsche No 6

GT Winner
Corvette No 33
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