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Old 6 Aug 2020, 13:47 (Ref:3993341)   #1
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Level of interest/boringness of past seasons

The general idea is this season is not going to be exactly a classic one, at least regarding the uncertainty of who is going to get the title and win races (hint: his name is not Sebastian).

So, always ready to increase the boredom about F1, I had thought in putting more numbers about it. Number, numbers, who doesn't love it?!

IM(NotSo)HO, a good indicator of the predictability in a season is the percentage of races won by the most winning driver (not always the winner of the title). Usually a season with more than half of the races won by one driver is a not very interesting season (the caveat is the word "usually").

Between MotoGP races I have time to spare, so I have calculated such a ratio for the last 50 seasons. Yes... it is right 50 seasons! That put in perspective the sad life I live.

I pretend to put here the graph showing the results. I say "pretend" because I hope it works well following the right format for adding images. Higher values imply "usually" more boring seasons... lower values mean... well, you get the idea.

Most 70s and most of 80s were great regarding unpredictability, with lost of winners in a season. But 90s, with the episodes of domination by McLaren and Williams, and beginnings of 00s, with the Ferrari-Schummy(yep!) steamroller were rather dreadful. I remember getting desperate with those Williams...


Then there was that unexpected transition period Alonso-Kimi-HamiltonI-Button, even the first Vettel title, without Titanics and Bismarcks supercars, were very interesting to follow.


But happiness is never long in this planet and the Big Money Lords came back again, first with Red Dull (sorry for the harmless joke) and then with TotoBenz. With them F1 again was so unpredictable as a summer in the Sahara desert. But of course they are not guilty, they have done a great job. Sadly, the nature of things is the great work of engineers is the downside for epic racing.


It is interesting to note that actually, the 4-year Red Bull period was not as bad as I could remember. The first year was an incomplete domination, actually interesting, and the third year was impressive, with 8 winners and Alonso, Hamilton and others doing their share of great races.


Counting as "bad" years whose with a percentage greater than 50%, 70s only gets one, 80 only gets "a half", 90s has 2 bad and 3 halves (let's say 3.5 bad years), 00s has 4 and 10s has 6 bad years!


Yes, we are (were) in the worst decade of F1 regarding uncertainty. The solution is easy: ban for one year the winning team. Or perhaps lock them in an American privately-owned jail.
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Old 6 Aug 2020, 19:09 (Ref:3993397)   #2
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But the 1990s were really exciting

Every other year in the Red Bull period was good and they were run close.

Change the rules more often and with less notice is my suggestion.
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Old 7 Aug 2020, 03:49 (Ref:3993444)   #3
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Thanks for all the hard work Schummy, interesting graph.

Quite surprised the last couple of years are as low as they are on the graph as Lewis has been peerless.

It would be interesting to see the constructors championship probability traced on the same graph.
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Old 7 Aug 2020, 10:22 (Ref:3993505)   #4
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Cool graph. I cannot believe you are still doing these years later.

It isn't always the case that predictability makes for a better season, of course.

I actually didn't enjoy 2010 massively despite the fairly close competition. The ending, Alonso helplessly stuck behind a driver nobody would otherwise remember, was fairly fitting.

2011 was a stinker of a season in some regards, Vettel dominating tediously, but it had much better races than 2010 IMO.

I would say 10 bad years out of the last 20 is pretty harsh. Obviously graphs and stats have no feelings, but it hasn't been that bad. 2015, 2013, 2004, 2002 are probably the only ones I would class as truly bad, and '04 and '13 did perk up at times.
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Old 7 Aug 2020, 18:21 (Ref:3993612)   #5
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1982 is "best" on this chart, most wins by any driver was two and the champion has one. And Keke won, which must be considered a good thing. However, I think the world is a better place if that year had been boring instead
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Old 7 Aug 2020, 20:28 (Ref:3993645)   #6
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I know 82 is such a contradiction. On the one hand the political turmoil and awful tragedies one to forget. On the other hand it was the most open season of all time with 11 different winners in 7 different cars, 5 of those first time winners and no one winning more than two races. Certainly Keke’s title against the odds meant it ended on a happy note and then skirts were banned for good thankfully
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Old 8 Aug 2020, 08:55 (Ref:3993746)   #7
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I got hold of a full year of Autosports from 1982 several years ago and reading through them was grim. It was 2007/08-esque with the politics. Then with added death and mutilation.

The drivers were constantly complaining too which I was led to believe only happens now.
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Old 8 Aug 2020, 12:26 (Ref:3993774)   #8
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At least drivers were more outspoken then. No PR stuff in those days, just straight talking from the drivers
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Old 8 Aug 2020, 12:31 (Ref:3993775)   #9
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At least drivers were more outspoken then. No PR stuff in those days, just straight talking from the drivers
Huh, and yet when drivers are outspoken these days like hamilton, they are accused of complaining or being too political....
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Old 8 Aug 2020, 12:59 (Ref:3993782)   #10
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The fans leave the drivers standing when it comes to complaining.
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Old 12 Aug 2020, 10:47 (Ref:3994927)   #11
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At some point they’ll start complaining they have nothing to complain about
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Old 12 Aug 2020, 14:46 (Ref:3994986)   #12
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You want to complain! Look at these shoes. I've only had them three weeks and the heels are worn right through.
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Old 14 Aug 2020, 17:59 (Ref:3995427)   #13
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At some point they’ll start complaining they have nothing to complain about
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Old 19 Aug 2020, 18:11 (Ref:3996523)   #14
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Glad to see that it's not just the nostalgia goggles that make the F1 scene of the 90s look more interesting than the 2010s one to me! I thought it was due to the enthusiasm of being a newcomer to that field, but it's true that there were more unexpected events, more new faces and teams...
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Old 20 Aug 2020, 15:04 (Ref:3996692)   #15
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I grew up in the 90s too and it was good fun, but looking back at any post 93 race nostalgia fails to see through how bad refuelling was for racing
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