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Old 12 Jun 2015, 09:55 (Ref:3547883)   #1
tomerswayler
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tomerswayler should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridtomerswayler should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridtomerswayler should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
[Spoiler] And the winner will be...

I put together the times from all sessions this week to find out what the distribution of the lap times is. Maybe this gives a proper guess of what speed the cars can do in the race.

The histograms show how many laps were done in each class, 18 on the horizontal axis means a lap time below 3:18min...

According to the numbers and pictures below, Porsche has an advantage of ~7 tenths over the Audi and over 3 seconds over Toyota.


The numbers(only times below 3:35min(3:55min for the Nissan) were considered for the calculations).

Code:
 Car          Average Median StdDev
 Toyota #1    27,769  27,415 2,568
 Toyota #2    28,315  28,161 2,593
 Audi #7      25,221  24,626 3,085
 Audi #8      25,831  25,174 3,100
 Audi #9      25,939  25,440 3,392
 Porsche #17  25,339  24,843 3,690
 Porsche #18  25,139  24,404 3,147
 Porsche #19  24,142  23,728 2,606
 Nissan #22   43,727  43,985 3,213

 All Toyotas  28,019  27,606 2,583
 All Audis    25,642  24,968 3,197
 All Porsches 24,879  24,290 3,197
The histograms(different horizontal axis for the Nissan).









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Old 12 Jun 2015, 21:20 (Ref:3548187)   #2
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Well, interesting. The tires will play a major role as Porsche is regularly a bit faster than the Audi. Toyota just need to be both fast and reliable.
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Old 12 Jun 2015, 22:28 (Ref:3548203)   #3
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mikuni should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridmikuni should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Cool, so baring other factors it should be #19 closely followed by a decent battle between the remaining porches and #7. It will so interesting to see how it all plays out

Last edited by Aysedasi; 14 Jun 2015 at 15:16.
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Old 14 Jun 2015, 15:16 (Ref:3550343)   #4
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Originally Posted by mikuni View Post
Cool, so baring other factors it should be #19 closely followed by a decent battle between the remaining porches and #7. It will so interesting to see how it all plays out
Hmm. Can you pick my lottery numbers for me this Friday?
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Old 14 Jun 2015, 22:26 (Ref:3550513)   #5
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mikuni should be qualifying in the top 10 on the gridmikuni should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
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Hmm. Can you pick my lottery numbers for me this Friday?
Gosh my grammar was terrible in that post.

But yes, I was thinking about this thread as the race played out. It is interesting how sometimes the statistics say it all.
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Old 16 Jun 2015, 18:10 (Ref:3551261)   #6
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skeeskirrt should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
Fascinating!
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Old 16 Jun 2015, 18:16 (Ref:3551264)   #7
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Good shot.
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Old 16 Jun 2015, 18:44 (Ref:3551286)   #8
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Muppetdave901 should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridMuppetdave901 should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridMuppetdave901 should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
Good work there!
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