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15 Mar 2005, 10:48 (Ref:1252279)
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#1 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 364
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Adelaide Race 1 SportsTab Odds
Marcos Ambrose 3.75
Mark Skaife 3.50 Jason Richards 251.00 Greg Ritter 126.00 Jason Bright 12.00 Alex Davison 251.00 Craig Baird 126.00 Russell Ingall 14.00 Jason Bargwanna 101.00 Steven Richards 15.00 John Bowe 41.00 Rick Kelly 13.00 Garth Tander 31.00 Steven Johnson 126.00 Glenn Seton 101.00 Mark Winterbottom 126.00 Brad Jones 81.00 Paul Radisich 126.00 Todd Kelly 11.00 Jamie Whincup 251.00 Paul Dumbrell 81.00 Steve Owen 251.00 Cameron Mcconville 81.00 Andrew Jones 126.00 Simon Wills 251.00 Will Davison 301.00 David Besnard 201.00 Paul Weel 34.00 Greg Murphy 8.00 Matthew White 251.00 Paul Morris 151.00 Anthony Tratt 301.00 Steve Ellery 101.00 Craig Lowndes 12.00 |
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15 Mar 2005, 10:56 (Ref:1252284)
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#2 | |
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Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 2,382
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I wouldnt mind putting some money on Bargs.. i think he will go quite well.
Richards and Whincup in the Tasman cars are at ridiculous odds, i think Jason could well be in the top 6 come the end of the weekend. |
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__________________
... without motorsport, what is sport?
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15 Mar 2005, 11:00 (Ref:1252286)
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#3 | |
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 16,040
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i signed up with sportsacumen.com because they had a stand a winton last year and at sandown i think. do you think they still do v8s. NOT! and i still have a bout 5bucks credit which i will waste on something
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15 Mar 2005, 11:01 (Ref:1252287)
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#4 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 4,375
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Are these wins or place bets?
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__________________
Tranquillity - What happens inside Shane's race car. Chaos - What happens outside Jamie's race car.
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15 Mar 2005, 11:04 (Ref:1252291)
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#5 | |||
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 46,683
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Quote:
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__________________
Happy David Thexton Day, 21st March 2003 “I am not uncertain” - Dollar Bill Stern, Billions “Fear stimulates my imagination” - Don Draper, Mad Men “Everybody Lies” - Dr Gregory House, House “Trust But Verify” - Commissioner Frank Reagan, Blue Bloods
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15 Mar 2005, 11:09 (Ref:1252296)
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#6 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,940
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I'm not a betting man, and know nothing about how these odds are arrived at, but did whoever compiled this not watch Whincup at the GP? Both Tasman cars did pretty well there I thought, so having both sitting on 251.00, seems like they might be worth having a couple of bucks on. I mean, Wills is listed at the same odds, and he is starting a lap down - as much as I would love to see him win it, this is the first race we are talking about, and I think the second race is a much more likely proposition for him
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__________________
HSV - Sideways cars from an upside down country.
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15 Mar 2005, 19:48 (Ref:1252792)
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#7 | ||
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Race Official 1% Club
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 46,683
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Two years ago... the gumbies in the NSW TAB handicapping centre had Marcos Ambrose at $26 for the win in Adelaide, after a pretty poor AGP performance, as the BA was shaken down for the first time.
A number of people, including me  , managed to get some serious cash down at that price.... ... then Marcos won R1.... and we all became a little more financially viable I dont think the handicapper is totally wrong here though... Tasman will not win outright, they may place well, but not win... thats what the odds are based on in the end.. |
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__________________
Happy David Thexton Day, 21st March 2003 “I am not uncertain” - Dollar Bill Stern, Billions “Fear stimulates my imagination” - Don Draper, Mad Men “Everybody Lies” - Dr Gregory House, House “Trust But Verify” - Commissioner Frank Reagan, Blue Bloods
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15 Mar 2005, 23:29 (Ref:1253003)
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#8 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 364
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For all, these odds are for a WIN in Race 1
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16 Mar 2005, 05:58 (Ref:1253105)
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#9 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 938
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Ingall @ 14.00
Richards @ 15.00 T.Kelly @ 11.00 Mcconville @ 81.00 There is a lot of value in there. The TAB seem to think there is only two cars in the race (Ambrose and Skaife). Even Lowndes @ $12 is a pretty good bet 
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__________________
“Jamie, Jamie, Jamie. What you have to do is you have to say look; the fact of the matter is that I’m red hot, that Todd Kelly is a ******, I have always thought he was, and I was just mowing him down based on ability”. – Neil Crompton talking to Jamie Whincup, post Bathurst 2005.
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16 Mar 2005, 06:02 (Ref:1253107)
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#10 | |
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Rookie
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 51
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Ingall @ 14.00 is a damn good bet in my opinion. I thought he looked stronger than Marcos at the AGP and if the rumours that they were on crap rubber and Skaife was on new stuff are true then SBR are looking pretty strong for Adelaide.
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16 Mar 2005, 06:07 (Ref:1253109)
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#11 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 938
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Stronger than Marcos?
How, and what races were you watching? 
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__________________
“Jamie, Jamie, Jamie. What you have to do is you have to say look; the fact of the matter is that I’m red hot, that Todd Kelly is a ******, I have always thought he was, and I was just mowing him down based on ability”. – Neil Crompton talking to Jamie Whincup, post Bathurst 2005.
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16 Mar 2005, 06:12 (Ref:1253113)
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#12 | ||
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Rookie
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 51
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Quote:
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16 Mar 2005, 06:29 (Ref:1253117)
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#13 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,003
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Well the ones at $100+ odds are probably not going to win... however they are not 20 times less likely to win then Skaife etc! Most of the odds are very generous, as they don't seem to accept that the difference between the #1 entry of the top few teams aren't actually actually 10 times better than those of smaller (or large but highly unorganized) teams, which is interesting but good for the punter if there is an upset.
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__________________
FALCON UNBELIEVABLE
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16 Mar 2005, 09:06 (Ref:1253176)
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#14 | |
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 16,040
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GT at 31 is my tip of the day
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16 Mar 2005, 11:10 (Ref:1253267)
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#15 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,370
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Quote:
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__________________
Holden- How One Legendary Driver Earned Nine Permanent circuits- the life blood of motorsport
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16 Mar 2005, 11:41 (Ref:1253289)
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#16 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2001
Posts: 8,963
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Out of interest does anyone here regulary gamble on motorsport ?
From my view, motorsport just offers to many randoms that can take your money away. But thats coming from a guy who hasn't ever touched a pokie machine.
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__________________
Upon entry into the Bathurst 1000, it should be mandatory to view the compelling "Moffat - Man and the Mountain" film
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16 Mar 2005, 11:56 (Ref:1253296)
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#17 | ||
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Race Official 1% Club
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 46,683
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Its the ultimate pig in a poke.... the odds are all over the place as the handicappers have little clue as to the form, while the ability to lay off bets on other chances isnt that great when the "fixed odds" and very low input dollars can see the market move on the strength of a $100 trade....
If you like roulette, and picking the red or black scenario, sometimes there is money to be made on the Holden vs Ford bets... but the payback is representative of the relatively low risk. I prefer gambling on Caltex shares (which have achieved yet another record high by the way.... from $1.90 a year ago to a close today of $16.69.... much better than gambling at the TAB)
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__________________
Happy David Thexton Day, 21st March 2003 “I am not uncertain” - Dollar Bill Stern, Billions “Fear stimulates my imagination” - Don Draper, Mad Men “Everybody Lies” - Dr Gregory House, House “Trust But Verify” - Commissioner Frank Reagan, Blue Bloods
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16 Mar 2005, 23:03 (Ref:1253821)
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#18 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 364
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The best way to bet on with the V8's is betting on races like Qld or Eastern Creek, where you know who has the best speed before the weekend starts....ie Ambrose V Skaife.
The other way is to study Natsoft during practice and Races if there are multi race formats and making your own decision there. Worked for me last year. |
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