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27 Sep 2024, 10:34 (Ref:4228586) | #51 | |
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Verstappen back on form at Singapore, but not enough to beat Norris. Lando just needs to keep winning and hope Verstappen has a bit of bad luck. Could easily happen
Colapinto is really impressing. Surprising choice to begin with, but now looking inspired. Shame we won’t see Ricciardo anymore though. At least he leaves with his head held high |
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27 Sep 2024, 11:04 (Ref:4228590) | #52 | ||
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Crunched:
Just on main races only, with the assumption that 20 cars were entered for each round. I also realised that, despite my last post, there might be a difference depending on how you treat retirees in the inverse scoring. On raw results alone, scoring 20-1, the WDC would read: Max Verstappen - 311 Lando Norris - 304 Oscar Piastri - 296 Charles Leclerc - 285 Lewis Hamilton - 260 Carlos Sainz Jr. - 251 George Russell - 238 Sergio Pérez - 223 Fernando Alonso - 206 Nico Hülkenberg - 166 Lance Stroll - 147 Yuki Tsunoda - 133 Daniel Ricciardo - 132 Esteban Ocon - 129 Pierre Gasly - 123 Alexander Albon - 120 Kevin Magnussen - 117 Valtteri Bottas - 88 Zhou Guanyu - 84 Logan Sargeant - 52 Franco Colapinto - 32 Oliver Bearman - 25 Liam Lawson - 0 |
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27 Sep 2024, 11:12 (Ref:4228593) | #53 | ||
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The next way to look at it was based on inverse scoring.
The challenge here is how do you score Lawson for the rounds he hasn't competed in. If 1 point is the best score, then 0 is even better! Because it was posed as an aggregate, then the worst score has to be equal to the total number of competitors in the overall championship. What does this mean? As more drivers enter, the high scores from early rounds are pushed up. Before any 'manipulation', the standing would be: Max Verstappen - 69 Lando Norris - 74 Oscar Piastri - 82 Charles Leclerc - 95 Lewis Hamilton - 120 Carlos Sainz Jr. - 131 George Russell - 144 Sergio Pérez - 159 Fernando Alonso - 172 Nico Hülkenberg - 214 Lance Stroll - 233 Daniel Ricciardo - 250 Yuki Tsunoda - 251 Esteban Ocon - 251 Pierre Gasly - 261 Kevin Magnussen - 265 Alexander Albon - 266 Valtteri Bottas - 292 Zhou Guanyu - 298 Logan Sargeant - 338 Franco Colapinto - 376 Oliver Bearman - 385 Liam Lawson - 414 |
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27 Sep 2024, 11:21 (Ref:4228598) | #54 | ||
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The initial post raised the question of how a team could 'manipulate' the system.
Assuming it was Red Bull, looking to use either Perez or the VCARB drivers to manipulate Verstappen's scores in relation to Norris, the first scenario is based on the 20-1 scoring. In this scoring method, they need to be able to drop one of those three drivers behind Verstappen, but remain ahead of Norris. As far as I can tell - there have been no races this season where that was an option. So, onto the inverse scoring. The nuance here comes in being able to push up the score of non-finishes by adding drivers to the championship. In this case, it actually would work in Red Bull's favour to keep Ricciardo in the car for the rest of the season due to the retirement of Verstappen in R3. Conversely, Norris would benefit if McLaren could run a new driver every race between now and the end of the season. Increasing the entrants to the WDC by 6 would push up Verstappen's score by 6 points - giving Norris a 1 point lead in the championship. |
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27 Sep 2024, 12:20 (Ref:4228607) | #55 | |
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Interesting analysis. Thanks for spending the time to do that and share results.
Richard |
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