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Old 4 Jun 2019, 16:58 (Ref:3907921)   #1
Schummy
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(Some) team mates comparison F1 2019

By now I am centering this stat in the teams I see more interesting/intriguing.
However, in the future I could see other teams... or discard some of these!

The comparison table has two digits per GP and team. First digit is qualification result (grid position, without "penalties"), second digit is race classification. Digit 1 means the First Driver did better than the Second Driver,digit 0 is... the opposite . In principle First Driver is the "main" driver in the team or at least the "best" driver, but this can be debatable in some cases.

TOT is the total score in the team, QUA is the score in qualifications and RAC is the score in races. The percentage means the likelihood of the leading driver is actually "really" better (a sort of statistical confidence indicator). The leading driver'name (the driver with better score) appears beside the percentage.

For example, the table shows that Hamilton had a better qualy but Bottas had better race result. Lewis dominates Bottas with a 7-5 score, but it only throws a level of "confidence" of 23% and it is briefly described as "Balanced". When the score is statistically significant it is described as "BUSTED".
Code:
        AU BA CH AZ SP MO    TOT  QUA  RAC
HAM-BOT 10 11 01 00 01 11 =  7-5  3-3  4-2  HAM 23% Balanced
VET-LEC 11 00 11 11 11 11 = 10-2  5-1  5-1  VET 96% Almost BUSTED!
MAG-GRO 01 11 11 11 01 10 =  9-3  4-2  5-1  MAG 85% Advantage
RIC-HUL 00 10 11 10 11 11 =  8-4  5-1  3-3  RIC 61% Advantage
Ironically, one of the more brilliant drivers of this season, Leclerc, is being well-beaten by Vettel, who, IMO, is not producing his best performances. Perhaps Leclerc is showing a lack of experience at maximum level... and a share of bad luck (?).

Magnussen and Ricciardo are leading the way in their respective teams, but still not above the random noise (i.e. it is not significant).

Perhaps noteworthy is the 3-3 score in qualifications between LH and VB, being Hamilton excellent in qualy laps and having Lewis a very solid season. Maybe it is an indication that Valteri Bottas is going to be a strong title contender, but it is still too early to say.
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Old 4 Jun 2019, 17:37 (Ref:3907928)   #2
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I think Leclerc is just keeping Vettel on his toes and yes the bad luck has played a factor
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Old 4 Jun 2019, 23:01 (Ref:3907964)   #3
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For me, Leclerc is being one of my favorite drivers this season but maybe I am becoming a fanboy of him .

Leclerc maintains Vettel in check and the statistics maintain Leclerc in check too.
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Old 5 Jun 2019, 17:09 (Ref:3908101)   #4
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Leclerc has the raw speed but makes mistakes and had some bad luck.
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Old 5 Jun 2019, 17:13 (Ref:3908104)   #5
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Heís made a few mistakes, but then these are understandable, as he is still learning the limit. If heís still making them like Vettel does after multiple titles thatís different
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Old 9 Jun 2019, 00:47 (Ref:3908690)   #6
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The Vettel Leclerc comparison is what you would ideally expect from a very fast young driver challenging a good team mate, the youngster with flashes of brilliance being overcome with the consistency of the experienced driver.
Still quite shocking just how dominant Seb has been statistically here.
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Old 9 Jun 2019, 09:12 (Ref:3908753)   #7
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The Vettel Leclerc comparison is what you would ideally expect from a very fast young driver challenging a good team mate, the youngster with flashes of brilliance being overcome with the consistency of the experienced driver.
Still quite shocking just how dominant Seb has been statistically here.
Just goes to show stats aren't always reflective of reality. If he won Bahrain and not shunted in Baku these stats would look very different?

Although Montreal is the first time this year that Seb has truly trounced Charles in qualy.
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Old 12 Jun 2019, 02:15 (Ref:3909472)   #8
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Update after Canada:
Code:
        AU BA CH AZ SP MO CA   TOT  QUA  RAC
HAM-BOT 10 11 01 00 01 11 11 =  9-5  4-3  5-2  HAM 58%   Balanced
VET-LEC 11 00 11 11 11 11 11 = 12-2  6-1  6-1  VET 98.7% BUSTED!
MAG-GRO 01 11 11 11 01 10 10 = 10-4  5-2  5-2  MAG 80%   Advantage
RIC-HUL 00 10 11 10 11 11 11 = 10-4  6-1  4-3  RIC 80%   Advantage
[Note: Magnussen "wins" Canada's qualifying because he had better qualy time]
Grosjean and Hulk will be almost busted if they "lose" the next two GPs.
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Old 12 Jun 2019, 02:28 (Ref:3909475)   #9
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BTW, that data show an almost statistically significant trend of Ricciardo beating Hulkenberg more and more easily. The other pairs don't show any mathematically significant trend by now, just a pattern compatible with randomness.
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Old 12 Jun 2019, 17:37 (Ref:3909589)   #10
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Schummy, is Kubica busted now?

Interesting about Hulkenberg and Ricciardo. I had imagined that one to be more evenly-matched so far.
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Old 13 Jun 2019, 02:48 (Ref:3909727)   #11
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I am afraid Kubica is busted, yes, but I have not wanted to include it in the table because sadly it was not much of a surprise :-{ ... Anyway life and F1 have to go on...
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