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15 Jun 2019, 19:44 (Ref:3911044)
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#51 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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98 6:00:09.854
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15 Jun 2019, 19:47 (Ref:3911054)
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#52 | |
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Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 10,932
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Not posting here much because I have nothing to add, but I am following this. I like stats.
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15 Jun 2019, 19:47 (Ref:3911055)
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#53 | ||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Sorry, I got distracted with the race!
After 108 laps the projection is 381. 
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 19:51 (Ref:3911061)
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#54 | |||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Quote:
2018 was 94 6:01:59.096 |
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 19:54 (Ref:3911065)
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#55 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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My estimation based on the median after hour 6 is still at 399. Let's see what hour 7 will bring...
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15 Jun 2019, 19:56 (Ref:3911070)
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#56 | |||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Quote:
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 20:07 (Ref:3911085)
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#57 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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The median is catching up (down?) and should be at 393 after hour 7...
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15 Jun 2019, 20:12 (Ref:3911099)
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#58 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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Hour 7 is earlier again
112 7:01:18.524 |
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15 Jun 2019, 20:20 (Ref:3911109)
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#59 | |||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Quote:
2019 projection 383. |
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 20:23 (Ref:3911113)
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#60 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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Median is just under 394 at 393,96 and the average at 382,81.
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15 Jun 2019, 20:25 (Ref:3911116)
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#61 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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Hats of to both you. Very good work. I'm enjoying it very much
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15 Jun 2019, 20:32 (Ref:3911122)
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#62 | |||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Quote:
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 20:52 (Ref:3911135)
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#63 | ||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Projection after 126 laps: 385 laps.
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 20:55 (Ref:3911137)
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#64 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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So it's rising slowly again
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15 Jun 2019, 20:56 (Ref:3911138)
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#65 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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Let's hope for a green nighttime!
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15 Jun 2019, 20:59 (Ref:3911145)
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#66 | ||||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Quote:
Quote:
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 21:34 (Ref:3911202)
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#67 | ||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Hour 8.
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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15 Jun 2019, 22:25 (Ref:3911283)
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#68 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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Still rising, the median is above the 397/398 lines again. As I type it, the SC is deployed...
 
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15 Jun 2019, 22:34 (Ref:3911297)
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#69 | ||
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Veteran
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 8,827
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I think that one or two more pace car FCYs may shoot the distance record in the foot.
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__________________
Power to me is having the ability to make a change in a positive way. Don't dream it, be it.
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15 Jun 2019, 23:30 (Ref:3911328)
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#70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Hour 10
Sorry, been chatting on facetime with a mate watching the race. We had a couple of beers.
Anyway, we are falling behind slowly, but surely...
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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16 Jun 2019, 00:32 (Ref:3911368)
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#71 | ||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Hour 11. Slip sliding away.
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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16 Jun 2019, 00:35 (Ref:3911371)
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#72 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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Doesn't look like this race will challenge the record anymore, even the green line (that estimates the total laps with a high speed for the remaining time) has now dipped below 397.
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16 Jun 2019, 00:51 (Ref:3911387)
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#73 | |||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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Quote:
I like your stuff with the different scenarios. That has demonstrated it is over. |
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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16 Jun 2019, 00:58 (Ref:3911391)
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#74 | |
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Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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I'll keep on updating the data, though. In the second half of the race, the different estimates should slowly converge towards the same value.
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16 Jun 2019, 01:01 (Ref:3911396)
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#75 | ||
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14th
1% Club
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 42,467
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188 at almost the exact time it went to 12 hours. So super simple maths says 376 is on.
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__________________
Seriously not taking motorsport too seriously.
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