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15 Jun 2019, 19:44 (Ref:3911044) | #51 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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98 6:00:09.854
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15 Jun 2019, 19:47 (Ref:3911054) | #52 | |
Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 10,932
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Not posting here much because I have nothing to add, but I am following this. I like stats.
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15 Jun 2019, 19:47 (Ref:3911055) | #53 | ||
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Sorry, I got distracted with the race!
After 108 laps the projection is 381. |
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15 Jun 2019, 19:51 (Ref:3911061) | #54 | ||
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15 Jun 2019, 19:54 (Ref:3911065) | #55 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
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My estimation based on the median after hour 6 is still at 399. Let's see what hour 7 will bring...
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15 Jun 2019, 19:56 (Ref:3911070) | #56 | ||
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15 Jun 2019, 20:07 (Ref:3911085) | #57 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 128
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The median is catching up (down?) and should be at 393 after hour 7...
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15 Jun 2019, 20:12 (Ref:3911099) | #58 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
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Hour 7 is earlier again
112 7:01:18.524 |
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15 Jun 2019, 20:20 (Ref:3911109) | #59 | ||
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2018 was 111 7:02:16.095
2019 projection 383. |
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15 Jun 2019, 20:23 (Ref:3911113) | #60 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2013
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15 Jun 2019, 20:25 (Ref:3911116) | #61 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
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Hats of to both you. Very good work. I'm enjoying it very much
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15 Jun 2019, 20:32 (Ref:3911122) | #62 | |||
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Quote:
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15 Jun 2019, 20:52 (Ref:3911135) | #63 | ||
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Projection after 126 laps: 385 laps.
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15 Jun 2019, 20:55 (Ref:3911137) | #64 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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So it's rising slowly again
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15 Jun 2019, 20:56 (Ref:3911138) | #65 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 486
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Let's hope for a green nighttime!
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15 Jun 2019, 20:59 (Ref:3911145) | #66 | ||
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15 Jun 2019, 21:34 (Ref:3911202) | #67 | ||
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Hour 8.
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15 Jun 2019, 22:25 (Ref:3911283) | #68 | |
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15 Jun 2019, 22:34 (Ref:3911297) | #69 | ||
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I think that one or two more pace car FCYs may shoot the distance record in the foot.
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15 Jun 2019, 23:30 (Ref:3911328) | #70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hour 10
Sorry, been chatting on facetime with a mate watching the race. We had a couple of beers.
Anyway, we are falling behind slowly, but surely...
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16 Jun 2019, 00:32 (Ref:3911368) | #71 | ||
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Hour 11. Slip sliding away.
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16 Jun 2019, 00:35 (Ref:3911371) | #72 | |
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16 Jun 2019, 00:51 (Ref:3911387) | #73 | |||
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Quote:
I like your stuff with the different scenarios. That has demonstrated it is over. |
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16 Jun 2019, 00:58 (Ref:3911391) | #74 | |
Racer
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I'll keep on updating the data, though. In the second half of the race, the different estimates should slowly converge towards the same value.
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16 Jun 2019, 01:01 (Ref:3911396) | #75 | ||
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188 at almost the exact time it went to 12 hours. So super simple maths says 376 is on.
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