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Old 17 Sep 2020, 11:51 (Ref:4003003)   #1
Adam43
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The 2020 (not as good and late) Annual Le Mans Prediction Thread

This year we are having a light version of the competition. Very simple rules.

The competition is a simple pole and number of laps affair.

1. Predict the fastest lap time from the hyperpole qualifying session.
It's only that session that counts for the lap time - it doesn't matter if someone goes quicker in another session.
Measured to the 0.001s
Just to cover us, it is the fastest overall time in this session irrespective of class or who the ACO actually give pole to.

2. Predict the number of laps for the winner
Total complete laps. i.e. the one after 24h and on the timing sheet.

In honour of the index of performance we shall have a formula for winner.

N=|Entrant prediction - number of laps completed by the winner|
P=|Entract prediction - number of seconds of hyperpole| (in seconds)
(it's the magnitude that matters, not whether you were above or below)

Your score will be
0.24N+P
e.g.
Actual winning time: 3:15.497; Prediction 3:17.000; P=1.503
Actual laps: 385; Prediction 380; N=5
Score: 0.24*5 + 1.503 = 2.703

Lowest score wins.

Please just post the pole time prediction followed by the numper of laps. e.g.
3:27.020
359

That's it no more info is needed in the post. There may be penalties for each additional character

Deadline: The start of hyperpole session. Which i believe is 11:30. 10-10ths post time (or edit time, whichever it later) is the decision on this.

If there is a tie and it involves someone who is French then they shall win.

In true ACO style, if there is any ambiguity or error we shall just make something up later. Judge's (me) decision is final, except you can appeal to the international sporting court of appeal (PascaLM, batmobile, joeb, skycafe, Aysedasi, Bentley03)
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 11:57 (Ref:4003007)   #2
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Summary

1. Predict the hyperpole session fastest lap
2. Predict the number of laps by the winner

Get closer to have more chance of winning.
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 11:57 (Ref:4003008)   #3
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Example Entry

3:27.020
359
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 12:03 (Ref:4003014)   #4
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Lutzvic should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
3:15.746
376 laps
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 13:10 (Ref:4003052)   #5
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gert is going for a new world record!gert is going for a new world record!gert is going for a new world record!gert is going for a new world record!gert is going for a new world record!gert is going for a new world record!gert is going for a new world record!
3.19.666
369 laps
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 13:26 (Ref:4003064)   #6
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3:16.771
382
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 13:33 (Ref:4003070)   #7
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Lasse should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
3:17.261
378
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 14:18 (Ref:4003098)   #8
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Truckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the gridTruckosaurus should be qualifying in the top 3 on the grid
3:18.001

350 laps
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 14:32 (Ref:4003100)   #9
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3.16000
380 laps
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 14:52 (Ref:4003115)   #10
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nasdriv87 should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
3:14.890
383
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 15:00 (Ref:4003118)   #11
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AndyN should be qualifying in the top 10 on the grid
3:16:385
367
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 16:38 (Ref:4003163)   #12
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PascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of FamePascaLM will be entering the Motorsport Hall of Fame
3:15.300
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 17:08 (Ref:4003168)   #13
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3:15.222
383
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 17:17 (Ref:4003170)   #14
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joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!joeb is the undisputed Champion of the World!
3:15.848
374
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Old 17 Sep 2020, 17:29 (Ref:4003173)   #15
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Hawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the gridHawkwood should be qualifying in the top 5 on the grid
3:16.666
375
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